[Click eStock] "NCSoft Expected to Slightly Miss 3Q Earnings Estimates"
On the 17th, Eugene Investment & Securities analyzed that NCSoft's third-quarter earnings are expected to slightly miss estimates. The investment opinion 'Buy' and the target price of 340,000 KRW were maintained.
Researcher Jeong Eui-hoon of Eugene Investment & Securities stated, "Third-quarter sales are expected to decrease by 27.8% year-on-year to 436 billion KRW, and operating profit is expected to plunge 84.7% to 22.1 billion KRW, slightly below the consensus of 22.5 billion KRW."
Researcher Jeong explained, "PC sales are expected to remain at a similar level to the previous quarter despite the effect of the Guild Wars 2 expansion pack release, and in the mobile sector, Lineage M's sales remain solid, but Lineage 2M and Lineage W continue to show a downward sales trend."
Researcher Jeong estimated the average daily sales for the third quarter of Lineage M, Lineage 2M, and Lineage W at 1.4 billion KRW, 600 million KRW, and 1 billion KRW, respectively. He analyzed, "Despite the release of Puzzle Up and the regional expansion of Blade & Soul 2 (Japan/Taiwan) in the third quarter, their contribution to sales is minimal, while marketing expenses related to the releases are reflected in costs, leading to a decrease in operating profit compared to the second quarter."
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Meanwhile, the global closed beta test (CBT) of Throne & Liberty (TL), conducted in September and October, incorporated much of the feedback from the previous May CBT, including removal of auto-battle, emphasis on motion dynamics, and mitigation of PVP and pay-to-win elements. Researcher Jeong estimated that TL's domestic sales reflected in the fourth quarter, with its December release, will be approximately 15 billion KRW.
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