US Dollar Value Hits Six-Month High... Chinese Yuan at All-Time Low
As the possibility of prolonged high interest rates in the United States emerges, the dollar has risen to its highest level in six months. Meanwhile, amid concerns over economic slowdown, China's yuan is falling to record lows.
On August 6, 2019, an employee at the KEB Hana Bank Counterfeit Response Center in Euljiro, Seoul, is organizing US dollar and Chinese yuan banknotes.
View original imageAccording to Bloomberg and others on the 8th, the dollar index, which measures the value of the dollar against six currencies including the euro and yen, recently reached the 105 level for the first time since March last year. Although it is not at the level near 115 seen in September last year during aggressive U.S. interest rate hikes, it has risen more than 5% from the mid-July low below 100. This is analyzed as a result of improved U.S. economic indicators, raising expectations for continued U.S. growth and prolonged high interest rates.
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The value of the yuan has dropped to record lows due to concerns about the Chinese economy. On this day, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, announced the highest official exchange rate in the past two months (7.2150 yuan), leading to speculation that Chinese authorities are prioritizing economic recovery over exchange rate stability. The People's Bank of China is intervening in the market through the official exchange rate and reverse repos to prevent excessive depreciation and volatility of the yuan. State-owned banks are selling dollars and buying yuan. However, considering the widening interest rate gap due to differences in monetary policies between the U.S. and China and the downward revision of China's economic outlook, the yuan's weakness is expected to continue for the time being.
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