North Korea Fires Ballistic Missile... Likely Airburst Detonation
Disappeared over the East Sea before flying over Japanese airspace, presumed failure
[Asia Economy Yang Nak-gyu, Military Specialist Reporter] North Korea has raised tensions on the Korean Peninsula once again by conducting missile provocations for two consecutive days. Although some missiles are presumed to have failed in launch, it is evaluated that North Korea has taken a step closer to a nuclear test. The government is considering countermeasures such as additional sanctions.
The Joint Chiefs of Staff announced on the 3rd that North Korea was detected launching one missile, presumed to be a long-range ballistic missile, toward the East Sea from the Sunan area of Pyongyang at around 7:40 a.m., and two missiles, presumed to be short-range ballistic missiles, toward the East Sea from the Kaechon area of South Pyongan Province starting at around 8:39 a.m. Among these, some ballistic missiles were aimed toward the Japanese archipelago, reaching an altitude of 2,000 km and a flight distance of approximately 750 km.
The long-range ballistic missile experienced stage separation shortly after launch. The propulsion unit and warhead separated, leading to an analysis that it was likely an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). However, it disappeared over the East Sea after launch, and is presumed to have failed.
Following the ballistic missile launch news, Japan issued an emergency warning alert. Japanese media flooded reports stating that the missile passed over the Japanese archipelago during its initial phase after launch. The Japanese government issued warnings such as "Take shelter indoors or underground" to Miyagi Prefecture, Yamagata Prefecture, and Niigata Prefecture through the nationwide alert system (J-ALERT), which transmits emergency information to local governments via satellite. However, it is known that the missile exploded in the air before reaching Japanese airspace.
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North Korea also launched the ICBM Hwasong-17 in March, but it exploded over Pyongyang airspace. Later, on the 25th, it fired the Hwasong-15 and disguised it as the Hwasong-17. Because of this, South Korean and U.S. military authorities believe North Korea will continue additional provocations to demonstrate possession of ICBMs capable of carrying nuclear warheads. Recently, movements such as building expansions have been detected at the Dongchang-ri West Sea Satellite Launching Station, a major base for ICBM development in North Korea.
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