Typhoon Nanmadol to Make Landfall in Northern Kyushu on the 19th... "May Pass South of the Korea Strait"

Expected to pass through the East China Sea on the 18th and land in northern Kyushu on the 19th
Variability remains depending on the position and strength of the North Pacific High
May also make landfall south of the Korea Strait or central Kyushu

[Asia Economy Reporter Han Jinju] Typhoon Nammadol, the 14th typhoon, is developing into a strong typhoon and is highly likely to make landfall in Kyushu, Japan on the 19th. There is also a possibility that it will pass through the Korea Strait due to the influence of the North Pacific High.

On the 15th, the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) analyzed in a regular briefing that Typhoon Nammadol will enter the East China Sea on the 18th, move northeast, pass through northern Kyushu on the 19th, and advance to the sea near Osaka on the 20th.

The typhoon’s path remains variable. The typhoon moves along the edge of the North Pacific High, and changes in the intensity or position of the North Pacific High affect the typhoon’s trajectory. If the North Pacific High expands or moves westward, the typhoon is expected to pass through the Korea Strait; if the North Pacific High shrinks or moves eastward, it may make landfall in central Kyushu.

Forecaster Lee Kwang-yeon explained, "Currently, the expected path of Nammadol is to make landfall in northern Kyushu, but there is also a possibility it will pass south of the Korea Strait or make landfall in central Kyushu. The forecast models show a deviation of 200 to 300 km in the predicted path."

Currently, the air lifted by Typhoon Muifa, the 11th typhoon, is dissipating, causing subsidence in the North Pacific High, which affects its position and intensity. Muifa is expected to weaken into an extratropical cyclone by the 17th, and during this period, the variability in the position and intensity of the North Pacific High will decrease, allowing for a more accurate forecast of the typhoon’s path.

According to the typhoon information released by the KMA at 4 p.m. on the same day, Nammadol maintains a central pressure of 980 hPa and is moving west-northwest at 29 m/s about 1,060 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan. The radius of strong winds is approximately 300 km, and its intensity is classified as "medium."

Nammadol is expected to pass about 840 km southeast of Okinawa at 3 a.m. on the 16th, with its central pressure dropping to 970 hPa and its intensity upgrading to "strong." This is due to favorable conditions for development as the typhoon passes over warm waters and receives moisture from the surroundings.

As the typhoon makes landfall in Japan, the coastal areas of Jeju Island and the Gyeongsang region are expected to fall within the radius of strong winds around the 18th. During this period, high waves and swell waves may occur in the eastern part of the South Sea and the southern East Sea.

Forecaster Lee said, "Jeju Island and the coastal areas of the Gyeongsang region may experience rain along with strong winds," adding, "The strength and intensity of wind and rain in any area caused by the typhoon are also affected by small changes in the typhoon’s position."

As Typhoon Muifa moves northward, rain will fall across various parts of the country until the 17th. A pressure trough carrying cold, dry air from the west collides with warm, humid air moving northward from the south, causing rain mainly in the western regions and Jeju Island. Jeju Island is expected to receive 10 to 60 mm of rain, while the Seoul metropolitan area, Chungnam region, Gangwon Yeongseo, and northern areas are expected to receive about 5 to 40 mm of rain.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.