North Korea Fires 8 Ballistic Missiles, Heightening 'Strong vs. Strong' Standoff on Korean Peninsula (Comprehensive)
[Asia Economy Reporter Yoo In-ho] The situation on the Korean Peninsula is further cooling as North Korea is reported to have launched ballistic missiles on the 5th.
At the upcoming South Korea-U.S.-Japan deputy foreign ministers' meeting scheduled for the 8th in Seoul, it is expected that responses to North Korea's military provocations will be intensively discussed.
According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and intelligence authorities on the 5th, North Korea launched eight short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) into the East Sea from areas including Sunan in Pyongyang on the same day.
Military authorities are analyzing specifications such as range and altitude. This ballistic missile launch is North Korea's third provocation since the inauguration of the Yoon Seok-yeol administration and the 18th military demonstration this year alone.
It has been only 11 days since North Korea fired three missiles, including an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) believed to be the Hwasong-17 and short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) presumed to be the North Korean version of the Iskander (KN-23), on the 25th of last month.
Accordingly, attention is focused on how South Korea and the United States will respond to North Korea. Previously, Presidents Yoon and Biden agreed at their summit on the 21st of last month to strengthen the South Korea-U.S. alliance and enhance the effectiveness of extended deterrence, specifically agreeing to reactivate the Extended Deterrence Strategy and Consultation Group (EDSCG), deploy U.S. strategic assets on the Korean Peninsula, and expand joint South Korea-U.S. military exercises.
Considering these points, it is anticipated that the South Korea-U.S. governments will activate the response measures agreed upon at the recent summit at the alliance level. This means a strong confrontation. In such a case, the possibility of additional provocations by North Korea is also high.
In fact, North Korea has continued to escalate tensions on the Korean Peninsula by launching ICBMs six times as of the 24th of last month this year.
Earlier this year, North Korea indicated its intention to abandon the moratorium on nuclear tests and ballistic missile test launches, and on March 24th, it broke the moratorium by launching an ICBM on a trajectory similar to a medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM).
In particular, military authorities assess that North Korea has mostly completed preparations for its seventh nuclear test and only awaits a decision from Kim Jong-un, General Secretary of the Workers' Party. Our government and the United States are closely monitoring the possibility that General Secretary Kim may conduct the seventh nuclear test around mid-month.
In diplomatic circles, there is keen interest in the intention behind North Korea's mass missile launches this time.
Militarily, it demonstrated defense capabilities capable of simultaneously striking multiple targets such as South Korea with short-range missiles that can be equipped with tactical nuclear warheads. Externally, it is interpreted as a multipurpose intention, including opposition to joint military exercises and international cooperation on sanctions against North Korea.
Attention is being paid to the fact that the military demonstration was carried out just one day after the South Korea-U.S. navies completed joint exercises near Okinawa, Japan, involving the nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan.
Some speculate that the tension was heightened targeting trilateral cooperation ahead of the South Korea-U.S.-Japan deputy foreign ministers' meeting to be held in Seoul on the 8th.
Moreover, North Korea is currently the rotating chair country of the United Nations Geneva Disarmament Conference and is supposed to lead international discussions on disarmament, yet it is expected to provoke opposition from member states by launching a barrage of missiles.
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Additionally, North Korea appears to have an intention to tighten internal discipline. There is a need to consolidate the regime while calming public sentiment shaken by the spread of COVID-19.
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