Lee Jae-myung 42.4% vs Yoon Seok-youl 34.9%... Lee Leads Outside Margin of Error

Public Opinion for 'Regime Change' at 45.8%... Public Opinion for 'Regime Continuation' at 41.5%

Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate (left), and Yoon Seok-youl, the People Power Party presidential candidate.
[Image source=Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Heo Midam] A public opinion poll released on the 29th showed that Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, is leading Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, beyond the margin of error in the next presidential election support survey.

According to a survey conducted by Hangil Research commissioned by Aju Economy from the 25th to the 27th, targeting 1,000 adults aged 18 and over nationwide, candidate Lee received 42.4%, while candidate Yoon received 34.9%. The gap between the two candidates was 7.5 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error.

In the previous survey commissioned by Cookie News (December 11-13), the gap between the two candidates was within the margin of error at 1.2 percentage points (candidate Lee 40.6%, candidate Yoon 41.8%). However, the gap widened significantly in just two weeks.

Candidate Lee's main support groups are people in their 40s (56.7%), Honam region (62.0%), Democratic Party supporters (85.2%), those with a positive evaluation of the president's performance (80.8%), and those with progressive tendencies (69.4%).

Support for candidate Yoon was prominent among those aged 60 and over (49.6%), Daegu and Gyeongbuk regions (54.0%), People Power Party supporters (82.1%), those with a negative evaluation of the president's performance (64.1%), and conservatives (55.8%).

Following the two candidates were Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party (5.0%), and Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party (2.0%). 'Other candidates' accounted for 2.9%, 'No preferred candidate' was 10.7%, and 'Don’t know/No response' was 2.1%.

When asked about the nature of next year’s presidential election, 45.8% of respondents answered that "the regime should be changed to the opposition party such as the People Power Party." This figure decreased by 1.8 percentage points compared to the previous survey.

On the other hand, the response that "the ruling Democratic Party should recreate the regime" increased by 1.8 percentage points to 41.5%. Others accounted for 8.2%, and 'Don’t know/No response' was 4.5%.

This survey was conducted via 16.8% landline telephone interviews and 83.2% wireless automated response system (ARS), with a response rate of 6.2%. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.