Yoon Seok-yeol 40.1%·Lee Jae-myung 37.0%... Gap Narrowed from 8.2%p to 3.1%p [Realmeter]

Compared to the survey on the 6th-7th, Yoon down 5.2%p, Lee down 0.1%p
Gap between the two candidates narrows from 8.2%p to 3.1%p within the margin of error... Close race

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A public opinion poll showed that the support rate gap between Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, and Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, has narrowed to 3.1 percentage points, which is within the margin of error.

Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate, and Yoon Seok-youl, the People Power Party presidential candidate, are attending a media event held at the Four Seasons Hotel in Jongno-gu, Seoul on the 24th, exchanging greetings. Photo by National Assembly Press Photographers Group

On the 22nd, Realmeter conducted a next presidential candidate support rate survey commissioned by YTN (targeting 1,027 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide from December 20 to 21, with a sampling error of ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). Candidate Yoon's support rate was 40.1%, down 5.2 percentage points from the previous survey (December 6-7), while Candidate Lee's support rate was 37.0%, down 0.1 percentage points.

During the same period, the support rate gap between the two candidates narrowed significantly from 8.2 percentage points to 3.1 percentage points, a difference of 5.1 percentage points. This is a close race within the margin of error.

Candidate Yoon received high support in Daegu·Gyeongbuk (55.4%), Seoul (43.9%), among those aged 60 and over (52.6%), and conservative groups (69.5%). Candidate Lee received higher support than the overall average in Gwangju·Jeolla (60.3%), Daejeon·Chungcheong·Sejong (40.7%), people in their 40s (50.9%), 30s (41.5%), and progressive groups (66.8%).

Following them, Ahn Cheol-soo of the People’s Party rose 1.7 percentage points to 4.2%, Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party fell 0.4 percentage points to 3.6%, and Kim Dong-yeon of the New Wave (tentative name) came in at 1.7%.

When asked who they would vote for if only considering Candidate Yoon and Candidate Lee, 45.6% chose Candidate Yoon, while 41.3% chose Candidate Lee.

The gap between the two candidates was 4.3 percentage points, within the margin of error, slightly narrower than the previous survey’s 4.9 percentage points. Candidate Yoon’s support dropped by 1.3 percentage points compared to the last survey, and Candidate Lee’s support fell by 0.7 percentage points. Other candidates accounted for 4.3%, none for 6.7%, and don’t know for 2.1%.

In this election, 52.5% of respondents expressed hope for a "regime change by the opposition," which remains higher than the 40.2% who chose "extension of the ruling party’s regime." The gap between the two opinions was 12.3 percentage points, widening by 1.3 percentage points from the 11.0 percentage points difference in the previous survey. "Don’t know" accounted for 7.3%.

Additionally, when asked about the influence of candidates other than the two major contenders on the presidential election, more than 6 out of 10 respondents (65.8%) said they would "not have an influence." However, among 117 respondents who supported candidates Sim Sang-jung, Ahn Cheol-soo, Kim Dong-yeon, or others, 60.8% said these candidates would have an influence, which was higher than the 37.4% who said they would not.

This survey was conducted with 1,027 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide, with a response rate of 7.0%. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Realmeter website or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.