'A Competent People Power Party Candidate to Oppose Lee Jae-myung? Hong Joon-pyo 38.2% > Yoon Seok-youl 33.1% [Realmeter]'

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A poll has shown that Hong Joon-pyo, a member of the People Power Party, is the most competitive presidential candidate from the People Power Party in a contest against Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate.

On the 28th, Realmeter announced the results of a survey conducted on 2,035 people aged 18 and over nationwide from the 25th to 26th, commissioned by OhmyNews, asking "Who is the most competitive People Power Party candidate to face Lee Jae-myung?" (with a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points). Hong received the highest choice at 38.2%.

Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl received 33.1%, with a gap of 5.1 percentage points between the two candidates, which is outside the margin of error. Following were former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min (10.9%) and former Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong (4.1%). Compared to the survey by the same organization two weeks ago, Hong's support rose by 12.7 percentage points, and Yoon's increased by 2.8 percentage points.

However, among People Power Party supporters, Yoon's support slightly increased from 54.1% in the previous survey to 55.6%, still receiving more than half of the choices and ranking highest. Next were Hong (34.5%), Yoo (3.4%), and Won (3.0%).

In hypothetical one-on-one matchups against candidate Lee, all candidates except Yoo Seung-min led Lee.

Former Prosecutor General Yoon (45.3%) led candidate Lee (40.9%) by 4.4 percentage points in a one-on-one contest, and Hong (44.4%) led Lee (38.9%) by 5.5 percentage points. Notably, Hong widened the gap against Lee more than Yoon did in this head-to-head matchup.

Former Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong (43.8%) also led Lee (40.1%) by 3.7 percentage points, while only former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min (36.1%) trailed Lee (40.0%) by 3.9 percentage points, which is within the margin of error.

In a four-way race where Yoon is selected as the People Power Party presidential candidate, the order was Lee (34.6%), Yoon (34.4%), Shim Sang-jung, the Justice Party presidential candidate (4.4%), and Ahn Cheol-soo, the People’s Party leader (4.0%). In a four-way race including Hong, the order was Lee (34.3%), Hong (29.3%), Ahn (5.7%), and Shim (5.1%).

Candidate Lee was in a very close race within the margin of error against Yoon in the four-way contest including Yoon, while Lee led Hong by 5.0 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error, in the four-way contest including Hong.

The response rate for this survey was 5.4%, conducted via random digit dialing (RDD) with automatic response, using a sampling frame of 90% wireless and 10% landline numbers. Detailed survey methodology and results can be found on the Realmeter website or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.