[Asia Economy Poll] Party Support: Democratic Party of Korea 31.5%, People Power Party 28.7%
[Asia Economy, Reporter Jin-Young Jeon] The Democratic Party of Korea is leading the People Power Party within the margin of error in terms of party support. Compared to the third week of May, support for the Democratic Party of Korea declined, while support for the People Power Party increased. This appears to be due to the convention effect from the People Power Party's leadership election, including the so-called "Lee Junseok phenomenon."
According to a public opinion poll commissioned by Asia Economy and conducted by WinGKorea Consulting on May 29-30, 2021, with 1,000 voters aged 18 and over nationwide (using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers and automated response), when asked, "Which political party do you usually support or feel more favorable toward, even slightly?" 31.5% of respondents chose the Democratic Party of Korea, while 28.7% chose the People Power Party, meaning the Democratic Party was ahead by 2.8 percentage points, within the margin of error. The People Party received 7.5%, the Open Democratic Party 6.1%, and the Justice Party 4.9%. The proportion of respondents who said they had no party affiliation or did not respond was 18.1%.
Compared to the third week of May, support for the Democratic Party of Korea dropped by 2.9 percentage points, while support for the People Power Party rose by 2.0 percentage points, narrowing the gap between the two main parties. The increase in support for the People Power Party appears to be due to the convention effect from the leadership election, including the "Lee Junseok phenomenon."
By gender, support for the Democratic Party of Korea was higher among women at 34.8% than among men at 28.0%. Conversely, support for the People Power Party was higher among men at 32.6% compared to women at 24.8%. By age group, the Democratic Party of Korea led among voters in their 30s to 50s, while the People Power Party led among voters in their 20s and those aged 70 and above.
By region, the Democratic Party of Korea was ahead in Gyeonggi-Incheon (31.7%), the Chungcheong region (42.1%), and the Honam region (54.7%). The People Power Party was ahead in TK (Daegu-Gyeongbuk) at 33.7% and PK (Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam) at 40.9%.
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This survey was commissioned by Asia Economy and conducted by WinGKorea Consulting on May 29-30, 2021, targeting voters aged 18 and over nationwide. A total of 1,045 people responded, with an overall response rate of 10.4%. The survey was conducted using wireless ARS with 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted using weighting (cell weighting) by gender, age, and region, based on the population as of the end of January 2021 according to the Ministry of the Interior and Safety's resident registration data. The sampling error is ±3.0 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more detailed information, please refer to the WinGKorea Consulting website or the website of the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
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