Yoon Seok-yeol Ranks First in Next Presidential Preference... Lee Nak-yeon and Lee Jae-myung Tie for Second [Realmeter]
[Asia Economy Reporter Kang Nahum] Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol topped the preference survey for the next presidential candidate, surpassing Lee Nak-yeon, leader of the Democratic Party, and Lee Jae-myung, Governor of Gyeonggi Province.
Realmeter announced on the 28th that in a survey conducted from the 21st to the 24th on behalf of 'OhmyNews' regarding the preference for the next presidential candidate, Prosecutor General Yoon recorded 23.9%, an increase of 4.1 percentage points compared to last month's survey, setting his personal best and ranking first. This is the first time Prosecutor General Yoon has ranked first in a Realmeter survey.
In particular, Prosecutor General Yoon recorded high preference among conservative opposition supporters. Among supporters of the People Power Party, 47.5%, nearly half, supported Prosecutor General Yoon, and 33.9% of ideological conservatives preferred him as well.
On the other hand, the leading figures of the ruling party, Lee Nak-yeon and Lee Jae-myung, both recorded 18.2%, falling to a joint second place. The gap with Prosecutor General Yoon was 5.7 percentage points, exceeding the margin of error (±2.2 percentage points). Compared to last month, Lee Nak-yeon dropped 2.4 percentage points, and Lee Jae-myung fell 1.2 percentage points. Lee Nak-yeon, whose preference has declined for eight consecutive months, fell below the 20% mark and lost the top spot for the first time in one year and six months. Lee Jae-myung has been on a downward trend for two consecutive months.
Independent lawmaker Hong Joon-pyo ranked fourth with a preference of 6.0%, and Ahn Cheol-soo, leader of the People’s Party who declared his candidacy for the Seoul mayoral by-election, ranked fifth with 4.0%. Minister of Justice Chu Mi-ae ranked sixth with 3.1%.
Others surveyed included former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon (2.9%), former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min (2.8%), former United Future Party leader Hwang Kyo-ahn (2.6%), Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun (2.5%), Justice Party lawmaker Shim Sang-jung (2.3%), People Power Party floor leader Joo Ho-young (1.9%), Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong (1.5%), and former lawmaker Kim Boo-kyum (0.8%).
The total preference for the conservative/opposition candidates (Yoon Seok-yeol, Hong Joon-pyo, Ahn Cheol-soo, Oh Se-hoon, Yoo Seung-min, Hwang Kyo-ahn, Joo Ho-young, Won Hee-ryong) rose by 3.9 percentage points from last month to 45.6%. Meanwhile, the total preference for the progressive/ruling party candidates (Lee Nak-yeon, Lee Jae-myung, Chu Mi-ae, Chung Sye-kyun, Shim Sang-jung, Kim Boo-kyum) fell by 3.1 percentage points to 45.0% compared to last month.
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This survey contacted 43,325 voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with a final 2,041 respondents completing the survey, recording a response rate of 4.7%. The sampling error is ±2.2 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.
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