Jin Joong-kwon: "No Hope for Ruling Party's Revival, No Next Security Leader Seen in Opposition"

Former Dongyang University Professor Jin Joong-kwon. Photo by Yonhap News

[Asia Economy Intern Reporter Kang Joo-hee] Former Dongyang University professor Jin Joong-kwon analyzed the survey result on the 31st showing that 30% of the entire electorate are core supporters of the Democratic Party of Korea, saying, "They (the Democratic Party) now have a concrete support base."

In a post on his Facebook that day, former professor Jin shared the survey results indicating that the core support base of the Democratic Party is 30% of the entire electorate, while the United Future Party has 14%, making it difficult for the support rates to reverse for the time being. He said, "As I have always said, the mainstream has changed. The positions of the ruling and opposition parties have been reversed compared to the past."

He added, "However, I do not agree with all the analyses of that survey," and predicted, "Even in the last election where the United Future Party suffered a crushing defeat due to the COVID-19 effect and a series of verbal blunders, the scores of the ruling and opposition parties were 49.9% versus 41.5%. Even in the worst situation, the vote difference was only 8.4%. While the ruling party will continue to benefit as long as COVID-19 persists, that effect will gradually weaken in the future."

He further stated, "Moreover, since the Democratic Party has no prospect of revival, if the opposition party succeeds in reform, the gap will significantly narrow," and pointed out, "Trustworthiness is also an issue, but the biggest weakness of the opposition party is that a 'next generation' leader has not yet emerged. Therefore, a rallying point has not yet formed."

The survey was conducted by four polling agencies?Embrain Public, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Hankook Research?from the 20th to the 22nd of last month, targeting 1,001 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older. The results, which categorized voters based on party support, showed that the core support bases of the Democratic Party and the United Future Party were 30% and 14%, respectively. The non-affiliated group accounted for 11%, and the politically indifferent group recorded 16%.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.