US Researchers: COVID-19 Deaths in the US to Exceed 200,000 by October

[Image source=AP Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Hyunwoo Lee] American researchers have predicted that the cumulative death toll from the novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the United States will exceed 200,000 by early October. Since COVID-19 has been confirmed to survive during the summer in the Northern Hemisphere, it is expected to surge again as the season transitions into autumn.

According to foreign media such as CNBC on the 17th (local time), the prediction model from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington estimates that the cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by October 1 this year will increase by 18%, from the previous 169,890 to 201,129. IHME stated, "COVID-19 has not disappeared during the summer in the Northern Hemisphere and is expected to continue surviving throughout the year, so the spread may intensify again as we approach winter."

IHME forecasted that the cumulative deaths in states where the spread is intensifying again, such as Florida, which reported more than 2,000 new cases over the past weekend, will increase significantly. Florida is expected to see a cumulative death toll of 18,675, a 186% increase from previous estimates; California is projected to have 15,155 deaths, a 72% increase; and Arizona is predicted to have 7,415 deaths, a 56% increase.

IHME expressed concern that with the easing of lockdown measures until October, the floating population will increase significantly in more than 20 states across the U.S., potentially causing widespread resurgence. Starting from the 20th of this month, President Donald Trump's campaign rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, is expected to mark the resumption of election campaigns ahead of the presidential election, causing health authorities to be on high alert.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.