The Cosmetics Industry That Suffered from COVID-19... When Will Spring Come?
[Asia Economy Reporter Hyunseok Yoo] There is a forecast that the cosmetics industry will hit bottom in the first quarter.
On the 29th, Jomijin, a researcher at NH Investment & Securities, stated, "Due to the impact of the novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19), both domestic and international production and sales have been affected, making a decline in first-quarter performance inevitable." However, she evaluated, "In China, as outdoor and consumer activities are gradually resuming, a recovery trend is expected to appear first centered on sales in China."
In particular, Researcher Cho identified that China is recovering and normalizing from the COVID-19 shock. She said, "About 90% of offline stores in China have resumed operations, and logistics and delivery have almost returned to normal." She emphasized, "While it may take more time for the domestic situation, including duty-free, to recover, considering China's recovery trend, the first quarter is expected to be the lowest point."
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She forecasted that ODM companies will record relatively stable performance due to rising preference and competitiveness. On the other hand, brand companies will need more time for recovery in duty-free and pure domestic channels but are expected to gradually improve due to local recovery in China and online transition. She explained, "Although consumer activities have been impacted by COVID-19, this does not indicate a fundamental weakening of individual companies' competitiveness or a decrease in demand." She added, "Growth is expected to be maintained from a mid- to long-term perspective."
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