Approval Rating at 25.1% if Unified Conservative New Party Emerges... Lower than Combined Support for Korea and SaeBosu Parties [Realmeter]

[Asia Economy Reporter Kang Nahum] A public opinion poll revealed that even if the Liberty Korea Party and the New Conservative Party form the (tentatively named) Integrated Conservative New Party, its approval rating would remain in the mid-20% range. This figure is lower than the simple sum of the two parties' support rates.

According to Realmeter's survey conducted on the 20th and 21st at the request of 'OhmyNews', the party support ratings if the Integrated Conservative New Party emerges were as follows: the Democratic Party of Korea at 36.6%, the Integrated Conservative New Party at 25.1%, the Bareunmirae Party at 7.1%, and the Justice Party at 6.6%, announced on the 22nd.

In the current state without conservative unification, the party support ratings were: Democratic Party 40.1%, Liberty Korea Party 32.1%, Bareunmirae Party 4.4%, Justice Party 4.2%, and New Conservative Party 3.8%.

In other words, even if the Integrated Conservative New Party is founded, its support rate would be 10.8 percentage points lower than the simple sum of the Liberty Korea Party and New Conservative Party. The Democratic Party's support rate fell by 3.4 percentage points due to the impact of conservative unification, but this decline was smaller compared to that of the Integrated Conservative New Party.

Among the existing Liberty Korea Party supporters, 60.1% said they would support the Integrated Conservative New Party, while 66.8% of existing New Conservative Party supporters said the same.

A Realmeter official analyzed, "Typically, when parties with similar tendencies merge, there is a 'plus alpha' effect on support ratings, but this time, it seems that emotional rejection between the supporters of the two parties prevented a chemical union." However, they added, "There is a possibility that the figures may change due to the influx of centrist voters depending on the future integration process."

This survey contacted 21,020 adults aged 19 and over nationwide, with a final 1,002 respondents completing the survey, resulting in a 4.8% response rate. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.