"Time to Open Your Wallet?"... Consumer Sentiment Hits 4-Year High [3-Minute Brief]
[At a Glance]
① June Consumer Sentiment Index Hits Highest Level in Four Years Since June 2021
② Lee Administration Injects 1 Trillion KRW in National Funds for Local Currency in First and Second Supplementary Budgets
③ Trump: "Iran-Israel Reach Ceasefire Agreement"
MARKET INDEX : Year to date
○Up over 1% on Israel-Iran ceasefire... International oil prices plunge 6%
○Relief rally on Middle East ceasefire news
○Trump: "China can continue purchasing Iranian oil"
Top3 NEWS
■ June consumer sentiment hits 4-year high... Housing price outlook surges to 'panic buying' levels of 2021
○Housing price outlook surges to October 2021 levels
○Second supplementary budget set, new government policies anticipated
■ 1 trillion KRW invested to issue 29 trillion KRW in local currencies... Breathing room for local economies, fiscal burden rises
○Local currency discount rates vary by region
○Policy goal: shift 'consumption structure' to a regional focus
■ Trump: "Iran-Israel reach ceasefire agreement"... '12-day war' ends 24 hours later
○Qatar mediates ceasefire
○Middle East tensions expected to ease, but nuclear conflict remains unresolved
Graphic News: Insurance companies face another tough Q2... Non-life insurers expected to underperform life insurers
○Net profit estimate for 8 listed insurers: 2.4916 trillion KRW, down 7.9% year-on-year
○Worsening auto insurance loss ratios and impact from major fires
○Rate cuts and Trump tariffs expected to make the second half challenging as well
the Chart: Funds flock to 'secondary financial sector' for 100 million KRW deposit protection... Soundness in crisis
○Deposit protection limit to rise from 50 million KRW to 100 million KRW starting September
○Funds expected to shift to secondary financial sector such as mutual finance and savings banks
○With deteriorating soundness in the secondary sector, active cleanup of bad assets is needed
Today's Key Schedule
○Domestic
KB No.32 SPAC subscription, final public offering price 2,000 KRW
Scinic Solution subscription, expected offering price 4,300~5,100 KRW
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○Overseas
05:00 Speech by Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Barr (US)
05:30 API weekly crude oil inventory (US)
07:45 New Zealand trade balance (YoY) (May)
16:00 Spain GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
23:00 Testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Powell (US)
23:00 US new home sales (May)
23:30 US crude oil inventory
◇Lunch & Evening Commute Weather
○Precipitation probability: 60% in the morning | 60% in the afternoon
○Fine dust: Moderate in the morning | Moderate in the afternoon
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