Biden Accelerates Chase of Trump... Leading or Tied in Polls in 3 Battleground States

Bloomberg News Survey... "State of the Union Speech Effect"
Leading in Polls in 1 Swing State, Tied in 2 Others

U.S. President Joe Biden is rapidly closing the gap on former President Donald Trump in the "swing states" that will determine the outcome of the November presidential election, according to a recent poll. Following his State of the Union address earlier this month, Biden appears to have dispelled concerns about his age, creating a tight race. While voter perceptions of the U.S. economy have improved, the number of voters who view immigration as the most urgent issue has also increased.

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According to a Bloomberg report on the 26th (local time), based on a joint poll conducted with Morning Consult from the 8th to the 15th of this month among 4,932 voters in seven swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin), President Biden leads former President Trump in one swing state and is tied in two others.

President Biden holds a 1 percentage point lead over former President Trump in Wisconsin, with 46% support compared to Trump's 45%. In Michigan and Pennsylvania, both candidates are tied at 45%. In last month's poll, Biden trailed Trump in all seven swing states, but within a month, he has caught up or overtaken Trump in three states.

However, across all seven swing states, former President Trump still leads with 47% support, 4 percentage points ahead of Biden's 43%. In a multi-candidate race, Trump also holds the highest support at 43%, followed by Biden at 38%, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 8%.

The rise in Biden's support in these key swing states is seen as encouraging. Biden had consistently trailed Trump in these states but gained momentum following his State of the Union address on the 7th, shaking off concerns about his age and creating a close race. This poll was conducted the day after the address. The confirmation of both former presidents as the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates on the 12th is also believed to have contributed to the recent tightening of the race.

Bloomberg noted, "In his congressional State of the Union address, Biden delivered a vigorous speech contrasting himself with Trump, whom he referred to as 'my predecessor,' covering topics from foreign policy and abortion rights to the border and gun control. This speech may have helped alleviate concerns about Biden's age, which has been the biggest obstacle for his campaign."

Additionally, more than one-third of voters reported hearing positive news about President Biden recently, the highest level since October last year. Six out of ten voters mentioned that both Biden and Trump are older, making the vice-presidential candidates more important.

Among Biden supporters, many said they would vote to prevent Trump from winning. Forty-five percent of Biden supporters said they back him because they dislike former President Trump. In contrast, only 28% of Trump supporters said they support him because they dislike Biden.

Voters' perceptions of the economy have improved. Among swing state voters, 32% believe the economy is heading in the right direction, up from 26% in October last year. The percentage of voters who identified the economy as the most important issue dropped from 39% in October last year to 34% this month. Meanwhile, the proportion citing immigration as the biggest problem doubled to 17% during the same period.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.