US-ROK Nuclear Consultation Group Accelerates Amid 'Trump Surge' [Yang Nak-gyu's Defence Club]
Preparation of a Safety Measure for Trump's Reelection Success
Nuclear Operation Scenarios Included Starting from Joint Exercises in the Second Half of This Year
South Korea and the United States are accelerating the Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) meetings. The NCG is a key outcome of the ‘Washington Declaration’ adopted at the South Korea-U.S. summit between President Yoon Suk-yeol and President Joe Biden on April 26 last year, and serves as an institutional framework to strengthen extended deterrence capabilities against North Korea.
Cho Chang-rae, Director of Defense Policy at the Ministry of National Defense of the Republic of Korea and co-chair of the Korea-US Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) (left in the photo), and Biffin Narang, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy of the United States Department of Defense, took a commemorative photo after signing the NCG framework document at the Pentagon, USA, on February 12, 2024 (local time). (Photo by Ministry of National Defense)
View original imageAccording to the Ministry of National Defense on the 14th, South Korea and the U.S. signed the ‘NCG Framework Document’ on the 12th (local time) at the Pentagon near Washington DC. They plan to create guidelines for nuclear strategy planning and operations by mid-year and complete the establishment of the extended deterrence system around June.
The guidelines will include ▲ methods for sharing sensitive nuclear-related information ▲ building security systems ▲ consultation procedures and systems during nuclear crises ▲ establishing secure infrastructure and activating real-time communication channels between the two presidents.
The emphasis on the NCG by South Korea and the U.S. appears to be influenced by the U.S. presidential election schedule. Even if former President Donald Trump wins re-election and begins a second term, the U.S. extended deterrence commitments would be institutionalized at an ‘irreversible’ level, making it difficult to reverse. This acts as a kind of ‘safety device.’
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Later this year, South Korea and the U.S. plan to include ‘nuclear operation scenarios’ in the joint military exercise ‘Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS).’ Establishing a secure communication network to operate a ‘hotline’ between the two leaders is also considered a measure to enhance the execution capability of the alliance.
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