A poll revealed that in the U.S. presidential election next November, President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have dropped among key support bases such as women, people of color, and young voters, raising the possibility that he could be defeated by his strong competitor, former President Donald Trump.


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According to a poll conducted by Emerson College from the 17th to the 20th among 1,475 U.S. voters and released on the 22nd (local time) (margin of error ±2.5 percentage points), in a hypothetical two-person race, President Biden received 43% support while former President Trump received 47%. Biden’s approval rating fell by 2 percentage points from last month’s 45%, whereas Trump’s rating remained unchanged. Compared to a year ago, Biden led Trump by 4 percentage points with 45% support to Trump’s 41%, but this lead has now reversed.


Biden’s approval ratings declined across his key support groups including women, people of color, young voters, and those with higher education. Among women voters, Biden’s lead over Trump narrowed from 7 percentage points to 1 percentage point. Among Black voters, his lead dropped from 61 percentage points to 47 percentage points; among Hispanic voters, from 14 percentage points to 3 percentage points; among voters under 50, from a 12 percentage point lead to a 1 percentage point deficit; and among four-year college graduates, from an 18 percentage point lead to a 2 percentage point lead.


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The reason behind Biden’s key support bases turning away is attributed to the emergence of third-party candidates such as Robert Kennedy Jr., from the prominent Kennedy political family, independent Cornell West, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. In a multi-candidate hypothetical race including third-party candidates, Biden’s deficit became even more pronounced. Biden received 36%, Trump 42%, widening the gap to 6 percentage points compared to 4 percentage points in the two-person race. Independent Robert Kennedy Jr. received 7%, while independent Cornell West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein each received 1%.


Biden’s approval rating for his job performance also hit a historic low of 38%, matching the level from May last year.



Meanwhile, within the Republican Party, former President Trump’s approval rating rose by 5 percentage points from last month to 64%, indicating a deepening dominance. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley followed with 9%, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis with 8%, and candidate Vivek Ramaswamy with 5%.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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