"US Congress: Republicans Control House" Current Polls Four Months Before Midterm Election

[Image source=Reuters Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Jeong Hyunjin] A poll has revealed that if the U.S. midterm elections scheduled for this November were held right now, the majority control of the House of Representatives would shift from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party.

According to a survey conducted by CBS News and polling firm YouGov from June 27 to 29 (local time) interviewing 1,743 registered voters nationwide, and released on the 31st, the Republican Party is predicted to secure 230 seats in the House. The Democratic Party is expected to hold 205 seats.

The total number of seats in the House is 435, with 218 seats needed for a majority. Currently, the Democrats hold a slim majority with 220 seats. If this prediction holds true, it means there is a high possibility that the House will shift to Republican control through the election in three months. CBS stated that the margin of error for this survey is 12 seats based on the number of seats.

The U.S. midterm elections are a major political event to determine all seats in the House of Representatives, 33 to 34 of the 100 Senate seats, and 34 of the 50 governorships. Currently, the Democrats barely control the Senate. Both the Democratic Party, including Democratic-leaning independents, and the Republican Party hold 50 seats each out of the 100 Senate seats, with the Vice President casting the deciding vote.

CBS cautioned against overinterpretation, noting that this reflects the situation as of July rather than November, but forecasted that the worst inflation in over 40 years, the Supreme Court's abortion ban ruling, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine will influence the election landscape. President Biden's approval rating, below 40%, is also expected to impact the midterm elections.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.