Realmeter Predicts Yoon 48.4~52.0% vs Lee 45.3~48.9% Vote Share
[Asia Economy Reporter Baek Kyunghwan] As the 20th presidential election concludes and vote counting is about to begin, a public opinion poll shows that Lee Jae-myung, the candidate from the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-youl, the candidate from the People Power Party, are engaged in a close race within the margin of error.
According to a survey conducted by Realmeter on behalf of Media Herald during the polling blackout period on the 7th and 8th, targeting 3,000 voters (with a 95% confidence level and a sampling error of ±1.8 percentage points), on the 7th, candidate Lee was recorded at 46.5%, and candidate Yoon at 50.2%. On the final day of the election, the 8th, Lee was at 47.1%, and Yoon remained at 50.2%.
Realmeter projected that in this presidential election, Lee would receive between 45.3% and 48.9% of the votes, while Yoon would receive between 48.4% and 52.0%.
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Meanwhile, this survey was conducted with 30% telephone interviews and 70% automated response system (ARS). It consisted of 95% wireless random digit dialing (RDD) and 5% wired RDD. The response rate was 11.9%. For more details, please refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.
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