[AKY News Poll] Hypothetical Head-to-Head Matchup 'Hong Jun-pyo 46% VS Lee Jae-myung 40%'

[Asia Economy Reporter Kum Boryeong] In a hypothetical two-way contest for next year's presidential election, Hong Joon-pyo of the People Power Party showed a narrow lead within the margin of error over Lee Jae-myung, Governor of Gyeonggi Province.

When asked, "If the next presidential election is between Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and People Power Party candidate Hong Joon-pyo, whom would you support?" 46.1% responded that they support Hong, while 40.2% supported Lee. Hong led by a margin of 5.9 percentage points, which is within the margin of error. "Other candidates" accounted for 6.4%, "None" 6.3%, and "Don't know" 1.0%.

By age group, Lee led among those in their 40s (55.7%) and 50s (46.7%), while Hong was favored by those aged 18-29 (57.4%) and in their 30s (46%).

By region, Lee received strong support in Gwangju and Jeolla (59.2%), while Hong gained positive evaluations in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam (55.4%), Daegu and Gyeongbuk (49.3%), and Seoul (46.3%).

Among supporters of the Democratic Party, 65.4% favored Lee, while 75.5% of People Power Party supporters backed Hong.

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from November 11 to 12, targeting voters aged 18 and older nationwide. A total of 1,022 people responded, with an overall response rate of 7.4%. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted using weighted values by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, please refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.