Yoon Seok-yeol Leads with Over 40% Support, Surpassing Lee Jae-myung and Lee Nak-yeon in Two-Way Race [Realmeter]

Next Presidential Candidate Head-to-Head
Yoon Seok-yeol 44.5% vs Lee Jae-myung 36.2%
Party Least Wanted to Support, 'The Democratic Party' 39.7% vs 'People Power Party' 31.5%

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol recorded a lead in a poll showing he surpassed major figures of the Democratic Party of Korea, including Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myung, former party leader Lee Nak-yeon, and former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, with over 40% support in head-to-head matchups as a next presidential candidate.

On the 6th, Realmeter, a polling agency, conducted a survey commissioned by OhmyNews over two days, the 4th and 5th, targeting 1,016 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older. The results showed that 44.5% of respondents said they would vote for former Prosecutor General Yoon, compared to 36.2% who said they would vote for Governor Lee. The gap was a single digit at 8.3 percentage points. The undecided group accounted for 19.3% (13.2% none, 6.1% unsure).

The age group most supportive of former Prosecutor General Yoon was those aged 60 and above. Among those 60 and older, more than half, 55.5%, supported Yoon, while in their 30s and 40s, the support for Governor Lee was higher at 44.7% and 50.1%, respectively, exceeding the overall average response of 36.2%.

Regionally, Yoon’s support was highest in Daegu and Gyeongbuk at 60.9%, whereas Governor Lee led in Gwangju and Jeolla with 51.9%, showing a clear contrast.

In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup against former party leader Lee Nak-yeon, former Prosecutor General Yoon led with 48.0% compared to Lee’s 31.3%. The gap widened to 16.7 percentage points, with the undecided group at 20.7% (16.0% none, 4.7% unsure).

Unlike Governor Lee’s higher support among those in their 30s and 40s, in the 'Yoon Seok-yeol vs. Lee Nak-yeon' hypothetical matchup, only respondents in their 30s showed higher support for former leader Lee at 43.2%, above the average.

In a hypothetical head-to-head against former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, former Prosecutor General Yoon led with 48.7%, ahead of Chung’s 25.7%, a difference of 23.0 percentage points. While Governor Lee and former leader Lee received higher support than Yoon among those in their 30s, former Prime Minister Chung (30.2%) did not surpass Yoon’s support (36.2%) in that age group.

Regarding party support, 32.0% of respondents supported the People Power Party, and 30.6% supported the Democratic Party of Korea, showing a close race. This was followed by the People’s Party (6.8%), Justice Party (5.7%), and Open Democratic Party (5.0%).

Conversely, when asked about the party they absolutely do not want to support, the Democratic Party of Korea ranked highest at 39.7%, followed by the People Power Party at 31.5%. Next were the People’s Party (7.4%), Open Democratic Party (7.3%), and Justice Party (5.2%).

This survey contacted 27,945 people nationwide aged 18 and older, with a final 1,016 respondents completing the survey, resulting in a 3.6% response rate. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey methodology and results, refer to the Realmeter or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission websites.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.