[Click eStock] "Hotel Shilla Posts Loss in Q4 Last Year... Hopes for Recovery in 2021"
[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] Eugene Investment & Securities forecasted that Hotel Shilla's fourth-quarter performance last year would result in a loss due to the resurgence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). However, from a stock price perspective, it is a time to focus more on the recovery expectations for 2021 rather than regrets about the fourth quarter, maintaining a 'Buy' investment rating and a target price of 100,000 KRW.
According to Eugene Investment & Securities on the 4th, Hotel Shilla's fourth-quarter sales last year are expected to decrease by 41.9% year-on-year to 897.8 billion KRW, with an operating loss of 9.1 billion KRW. Initially, it was expected that the reduction in airport duty-free store rent would enable a return to profitability from the fourth quarter, but due to the COVID-19 resurgence, it is analyzed that it will take more time to recover operating profit.
Eugene Investment & Securities evaluated that, focusing only on Hotel Shilla's duty-free store segment, there was improvement compared to the third quarter. Although December sales decreased by about 40% year-on-year, the rent reduction effect for airport duty-free stores, which began in September, was reflected throughout the quarter, leading to possible improvement in profitability.
Researcher Joo Young-hoon said, "Although the city duty-free stores have recently seen an increase in the proportion of small-scale Daigongs, resulting in some increase in brokerage fees, it is understood that the operating profit remains in positive territory. The fact that the duty-free stores are maintaining this level of performance even in the worst conditions is certainly a positive factor."
The unexpected deterioration in profit and loss appeared in the hotel segment. The resurgence of COVID-19 led to the prohibition of private gatherings of five or more people and a 50% restriction on room reservations, which exacerbated difficulties.
Researcher Joo mentioned, "Normally, banquets and gatherings held during Christmas and year-end were also canceled, causing severe sales impacts across all segments including rooms, banquet halls, and restaurants."
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However, if a full-fledged rebound begins starting with a return to profitability in the first quarter of this year, the stock price is also likely to rise, and the existing investment rating and target price were maintained respectively.
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