Angry Iran Decides to Effectively Abandon Nuclear Deal... Turbulent Middle East Situation
Iran Signals End to Uranium Enrichment Limits and Possible Israel Attacks
US Indicates Massive Retaliation and Potential Additional Assassination of Iranian Figures
Iraq Files UN Security Council Complaint, Calling US Airstrikes a Violation of Sovereignty
[Asia Economy Reporter Hyunwoo Lee] In retaliation for the U.S. airstrike and killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani, the Iranian government has taken out the card of withdrawing from the nuclear agreement (JCPOA - Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) and hinted at attacks on Israel. In response, the United States declared that it would impose massive retaliation beyond Iran’s countermeasures and continue airstrikes on key Iranian figures, escalating the confrontation between the two sides to an extreme level. The situation in the Middle East is engulfed in turmoil, with no clear outlook.
According to the Associated Press on the 5th (local time), the Iranian government announced in a statement, "Iran will no longer limit its uranium enrichment capacity and concentration as stipulated in the nuclear agreement," effectively declaring the termination of the JCPOA. The nuclear agreement, signed in 2015 between the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, Germany, and Iran, was designed to prevent Iran from possessing highly enriched uranium for nuclear weapons production. Along with withdrawing from the nuclear deal, Iran also indicated the possibility of retaliatory attacks on Israel. Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Expediency Discernment Council, threatened via Twitter, "If the U.S. retaliates militarily against Iran, Haifa and Tel Aviv in Israel will be reduced to dust."
The United States also announced that it would respond with far stronger retaliation to Iran’s countermeasures. On the 5th (local time), U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted, "If Iran attacks any American or American target, the United States will quickly, fully, and disproportionally retaliate." This statement is interpreted as a commitment to impose much greater punishment in response to Iran’s retaliation. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared on CBS’s Face the Nation program the same day and, when asked whether other Iranian leaders besides Soleimani could be potential targets of U.S. airstrikes, replied, "We will do whatever is necessary to protect the American people," suggesting the possibility of additional strikes on Iranian figures.
Meanwhile, Iraq, controlled by pro-Iranian Shiite forces, filed a complaint with the United Nations Security Council, claiming that the U.S. airstrike on Soleimani violated its sovereignty. According to Xinhua News Agency on the 5th (local time), the Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the U.S. bombing at Baghdad Airport during the Soleimani airstrike constituted a violation of Iraq’s sovereignty and filed a complaint with the UN Security Council. Earlier, the Iraqi parliament held an emergency session and passed a resolution rejecting the presence of U.S. troops on Iraqi territory. Currently, about 5,200 U.S. troops are stationed across 12 bases in Iraq.
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With Iran’s withdrawal from the nuclear agreement, the U.S. signaling retaliation, and Iraq’s complaint to the UN Security Council, the Middle East situation is expected to become increasingly unpredictable. If clashes with the U.S. continue after Iran’s nuclear deal withdrawal and Iran accelerates its nuclear development program, there is a possibility that Iran could possess nuclear weapons within about a year. There are growing concerns that if Iran officially acquires nuclear weapons, direct military conflict between Iran and the West, including Israel, could occur.
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