"Thank You Swift, Oppenheimer"... US Economic Impact 11 Trillion
Expansion of Cultural Demand in Movies and Performances
Swift and Beyonce Concerts, Oppenheimer Box Office Success
Bloomberg "US Q3 GDP Up 0.5%P"
Concert tours by American pop stars Taylor Swift and Beyonc?, along with the 'Barbenheimer (Barbie + Oppenheimer)' craze, are expected to bring an economic impact of $8.5 billion (approximately 11.3 trillion KRW) to the United States in the third quarter of this year.
On the 25th (local time), Bloomberg News cited Bloomberg Economics, its economic research institute, reporting that the two pop stars' tours and the box office success of the movies Barbie and Oppenheimer will increase the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 0.5 percentage points in the third quarter.
According to Bloomberg Economics, the two pop stars are analyzed to generate an economic impact of $5.4 billion through 50 concerts. Barbie and Oppenheimer are expected to bring a total economic effect of $3.1 billion by combining domestic consumer spending and overseas ticket sales revenue. Based on this, Bloomberg Economics estimated that the U.S. personal consumption expenditure will increase by 0.7 percentage points and GDP by 0.5 percentage points on an annualized basis in the third quarter.
In the U.S., despite soaring prices and interest rates, demand for movies and performances is explosively increasing. Consumers are willing to open their wallets to watch cultural content and purchase related products. Bloomberg assessed, "This (economic impact) outlook further supports the U.S. economy, which has regained momentum in recent months."
In fact, the U.S. economy is showing unexpectedly strong performance based on robust consumption and employment despite the Federal Reserve's high-intensity tightening. Even as inflation slowed from 9.1% in June last year to 3.2% in July this year, the economy's strong recovery has solidified a soft-landing trend. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta projected the U.S. real GDP growth rate for the third quarter at 5.8%.
However, the economic growth effect from increased cultural consumption spending such as pop star concerts and movie hits is likely to be limited to the third quarter of this year. Neither Taylor Swift nor Beyonc? has concert plans in the U.S. for the fourth quarter. Bloomberg analyzed that the simultaneous success of Barbie and Oppenheimer is an unusual event. Bloomberg Economics noted that this cultural consumption boom "originated from temporary factors," and when the excitement cools down, it may be revealed as a 'mirage' rather than resilient consumption.
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Some predict that U.S. consumer spending may slow down. Amid concerns of inflation rebounding due to recent rises in oil and food prices, if the Fed continues tightening, a hard landing scenario for the U.S. economy cannot be ruled out. The U.S. mortgage rates soaring to the highest level in 22 years could also lead to a decrease in consumer spending.
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