Focus on Whether Erdogan's Authoritarian Rule Will End

The presidential election held in T?rkiye on the 14th (local time) failed to produce a winner, leading to a runoff election. In the runoff scheduled for the 28th, T?rkiye will once again face a crossroads: whether to end the 20-year era of authoritarian rule under President Recep Tayyip Erdo?an or to extend authoritarianism for another decade.


[Image source=Yonhap News]

[Image source=Yonhap News]

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President Recep Tayyip Erdo?an announced on the 15th, when the vote count exceeded 90%, that he would accept the runoff election.


According to Anadolu Agency, T?rkiye's state news agency, with 96% of the votes counted, President Erdo?an secured 49.4% of the vote. He led his rival, opposition alliance candidate Kemal Kılı?daro?lu, leader of the Republican People's Party (CHP), who received 44.9%, by 4.5 percentage points, but it is likely that he failed to achieve an outright majority.


If a candidate had secured a majority in this election, the election would have ended immediately. There was speculation that Erdo?an might confirm victory by surpassing the majority threshold when half of the votes were counted. However, as the count exceeded 90%, his vote share dropped below 50%. Since no candidate received more than 50% of the votes and Erdo?an accepted this, the election will proceed to a runoff between the top two candidates in two weeks.


Although he failed to secure a majority, Erdo?an's lead overturned initial expectations. Pre-election polls showed Kılı?daro?lu ahead of Erdo?an by 4 to 5 percentage points. Consequently, the opposition claimed victory and questioned Anadolu Agency's vote reporting from the midpoint of the count.


Both inside and outside T?rkiye, attention is focused on whether this election will mark the end of Erdo?an's 20-year authoritarian rule. Erdo?an first came to power as prime minister in 2003 under a parliamentary system and ruled for 12 years. After stepping down as prime minister in 2014, he ran for president and was elected. Subsequently, in 2015, a constitutional amendment transformed T?rkiye into a presidential system, and Erdo?an pursued measures such as presidential term limits to consolidate power. However, public discontent with Erdo?an grew due to his authoritarian governing style, a collapsing economy marked by currency devaluation and soaring inflation, and the government's poor response to a major earthquake. Taking advantage of this, Kılı?daro?lu emerged as a leading presidential candidate by criticizing Erdo?an's mismanagement.


If Erdo?an wins, he could remain in power until as late as 2033. The U.S. CNN network described this election as "the greatest challenge to T?rkiye's strongman leader," noting that "he faces economic headwinds and criticism over the devastating February earthquake, which was worsened by poor building controls and rescue efforts."



Meanwhile, in the parliamentary elections held alongside the presidential vote, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) alliance is leading by a wide margin over the main opposition CHP alliance. With 94% of the votes counted, the People's Alliance led by the AKP has secured 49.6% of the vote, projected to win 324 out of 600 seats. The Nation Alliance led by the CHP has 35% of the vote, expected to win 211 seats.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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