'Reborn' Lee Jae-myung, Closing in on Yoon Seok-yeol by 0.5 Percentage Points... Yoon 40% vs Lee 39.5%

TBS-KSOI Poll
Gap Between Regime Change Supporters Narrows

[Image source=Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, showed a neck-and-neck race with a margin of 0.5 percentage points within the margin of error in the next presidential candidate support survey. Although Yoon's support rate, which had surged significantly due to the convention effect after his nomination on the 5th, declined, Lee's support rate showed a sharp increase, narrowing the gap between the first and second place.

According to the Korea Society Opinion Institute (KSOI), which conducted a survey commissioned by TBS from the 19th to the 20th targeting 1,007 voters aged 18 and over nationwide on 'next presidential candidate support,' Yoon's support rate was 40.0%, and Lee's was 39.5%. Compared to the same method of survey last week, Yoon's support rate dropped by 5.6 percentage points, while Lee's rose by 7.1 percentage points.

Yoon's support rate declined in all regions except Daegu and Gyeongbuk (TK). In particular, his support rate in the Chungcheong region, including Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong, fell by 16.1 percentage points to 29.7%. In Seoul, his support rate also dropped by 9.9 percentage points to 42.6%. Additionally, Yoon's support among men decreased by 7.1 percentage points to 41.4%, and among women, it fell by 4.0 percentage points to 38.7% compared to last week.

On the other hand, Lee's support among men rose by 7.3 percentage points to 42.7%, and among women, it increased by 6.8 percentage points to 36.3%.

In the 40s age group, where Lee's support is strong, his support rate surged by 17.3 percentage points to 62.2%, showing signs of consolidating his support base. Additionally, Lee's support in the Chungcheong region, including Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong, rose by 15.3 percentage points to 44.1%, and in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, it increased by 7.5 percentage points to 33.2%. Coincidentally, these two areas were recently visited by Lee through the Maetaverse (Daily Livelihood Bus) on weekends.

Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party, received 4.5%, Ahn Cheol-soo of the People’s Party 4%, Kim Dong-yeon, the preparatory committee chairman of the New Wave Party, 1.1%, other candidates 2.3%, no preferred candidate 7.1%, and undecided 1.4%.

Regarding the nature of the next presidential election, the public opinion for regime change was 46.8%, and for regime continuation was 42.1%, with regime change leading by 4.7 percentage points. Considering that last week's survey showed 53.6% for regime change and 37% for regime continuation, the voice for regime change has significantly decreased.

Regarding who is most likely to do well in job creation and revitalizing the economy for ordinary people, Lee ranked first with 41.0%, Yoon second with 34.3%, Ahn third with 5.7%, Sim fourth with 5.0%, and Kim fifth with 2.1%.

This survey was conducted using a wireless automated response system (ARS) with mobile phone virtual numbers (safe numbers), and the sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission and the KSOI website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.