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[Asia Economy reporters Lee Ji-eun and Kim Hye-min] With the election for the floor leader of the United Future Party just one day away, there is an analysis that the 'marathon debate' lasting 4 to 5 hours could be the deciding factor in the outcome. Although the race has solidified into a two-way contest between 'Seoul and Yeongnam' after candidates from the Chungcheong region dropped out, the votes of the 'floating voters' have become more important than factional or regional affiliations in the election.


Lee Jun-seok, a Supreme Council member of the United Future Party, appeared on KBS Radio's 'Kim Kyung-rae's Strongest Current Affairs' on the 7th and said, "In the case of elected candidate Kwon Young-se, he has been away from the National Assembly for a long time, and Representative Joo Ho-young is not a politician who is much highlighted in the media," adding, "Most of the first-term lawmakers are still in the so-called 'don't know well' category."


Among the 84 United Future Party constituency lawmakers elected in this general election, nearly half, 40, are first-term lawmakers. While the recognition of the floor leader candidates is likely to influence the votes, both candidate Kwon and Representative Joo have similar levels of recognition, making it uncertain where the first-term lawmakers' votes will lean. A United Future Party official also hinted, "Usually, votes are divided according to the candidates' messages on the day, but this time the influence will be even greater."


The extended debate time, increased from the previous 1 to 2 hours of combined policy presentations and debates, is also a variable. On the 8th, the United Future Party will hold a meeting of elected members at the National Assembly starting at 10 a.m., where the agenda of electing the floor leader, a joint debate, on-site questions, and voting will take place. The total duration is expected to be 4 hours if there is no runoff vote, and up to 4 hours and 30 minutes if a runoff is considered.


[Image source=Yonhap News]

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The format of the debate on that day will also be diverse. The first section, starting at 10:12 a.m., will be a joint debate. In the joint debate, each candidate will give an opening statement, followed by answering common questions (three times) by candidate groups. In the subsequent interactive debate, each candidate group will be given a total of 15 minutes to ask and answer questions. In the second section after lunch, on-site questions will be received and candidates will respond, followed by closing remarks.


The debate time was significantly extended in response to first-term lawmakers' requests, who felt pressed for time and unfamiliar with the candidates. Park Sung-joong, the United Future Party's election management committee chairman, told reporters on the 6th, "It will be much more active than the ruling party," adding, "Through the interactive debate, we will allow ample time for thorough discussion so that the candidates' competitiveness can be fully revealed."


Although this floor leader election is evaluated as having significantly diminished factional and regional colors, regional affiliations may still somewhat influence voting. In particular, with two candidates from the Chungcheong region withdrawing their candidacies, the burden on Representative Joo, who chose Chungcheong-based Representative Lee Jong-bae as his running mate, has greatly lessened. It is also crucial how many votes from the Yeongnam region candidate Cho Hae-jin, Kwon's running mate based in Busan and Gyeongnam (PK), can secure.



Both candidates are, for now, favorable to the 'Kim Jong-in Emergency Committee' system. However, both have clearly stated their intention to follow the consensus of the elected members. Especially, candidate Kwon drew a line at his campaign announcement on the 6th, saying, "Any form of 'top-down reform' led by the leadership or some outsiders is unacceptable," and showed balance by choosing Cho, who opposed the Kim Jong-in emergency committee, as his policy committee chairman running mate. Representative Joo also stated at his campaign announcement, "I will follow the consensus of the elected members."


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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