[AKY News Poll] People Power Party Support Rate Surpasses 30%... Lee Jun-seok Surge and Party Convention Effect

by Park Joonyi

Published 14 Jun.2021 11:45(KST)

Updated 14 Jun.2021 15:37(KST)

Lee Jun-seok Election 'Convention Effect' Rises for 3 Consecutive Times

[Image source=Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Park Jun-yi] Public support for the People Power Party has shown an upward trend, surpassing the 30% mark for the first time since the survey began. The recent party convention, which attracted significant attention as the "Lee Jun-seok phenomenon," is believed to have influenced the rise in party support.

Asia Economy commissioned Win-G Korea Consulting to conduct a public opinion survey from the 12th to the 13th targeting 1,017 voters aged 18 and older nationwide (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response). When asked about the "party you usually support or have even a slight preference for," support for the People Power Party rose to 31.0%, up 2.3 percentage points from the previous survey conducted on the 29th-30th of last month (28.7%). This marks the third consecutive increase following the survey on the 15th-16th of last month (26.7%).

As support for the People Power Party increased, the gap with the leading Democratic Party of Korea (32.8%) narrowed. The gap between the two parties was 2.8 percentage points in the previous survey but shrank to just 1.8 percentage points in this survey, showing a narrow margin.

[AKY News Poll] People Power Party Support Rate Surpasses 30%... Lee Jun-seok Surge and Party Convention Effect

Support for the People Power Party rose among both men and women, but varied by age group. Compared to the previous survey, support increased among those in their 20s and those aged 50 and above, while it declined among those in their 30s and 40s. Notably, support among those in their 60s increased by 10.1 percentage points.

Comparing support between the two major parties, the Democratic Party had higher support among women at 36.2% compared to 29.3% among men, whereas the People Power Party had relatively higher support among men at 34.4% compared to 27.6% among women. By age, the Democratic Party led in the 30s and 40s age groups, while the People Power Party had higher support among those in their 20s and those aged 50 and above.

Regionally, the Democratic Party was dominant in Gyeonggi-Incheon (34.4%) and Honam region (62.8%), while the People Power Party led in Seoul (34.5%), Chungcheong region (38.5%), Gangwon-Jeju (28.3%), TK (Daegu-Gyeongbuk) at 27.5%, and PK (Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam) at 35.6%.

Support for other parties was as follows: People Party 6.7%, Justice Party 5.2%, Open Democratic Party 4.5%. The proportion of undecided or no party preference voters was 18.0%.

▶How the survey was conducted

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting targeting voters aged 18 and older nationwide from the 12th to the 13th, with 1,017 respondents and an overall response rate of 10.9%. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted using weighted values (cell weighting) by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, please refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.